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Before you invest another naira

Your business can look busy every single day and still be paying you ₦158 an hour.

There is one calculation that tells you what your money is actually earning — five lines, from records you already have — and one national number it has to beat. This book gives you both, then names nine places your money can go instead. Every figure sourced. Every figure dated.

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Front cover of You Are About to Lose That Money by Celestine Ibojiemenmen

The question nobody asked you

Somebody has money. And the conversation is always the same conversation.

Two million naira from a gratuity. Four million from a land sale. Eleven million saved over six years by a young man who has been very careful. And it is held with a brother, a spouse, a pastor, an imam, a former colleague, or a friend who once did well at something.

“What business should I do?”

Notice the shape of that question. It does not ask whether to do a business. It does not ask what the money might otherwise earn. It has already decided the category and is now selecting within it — the way a man who has decided to buy a car asks which model. The alternatives were eliminated before the conversation began, and nobody in the room can name what they were.

That gap — between what feels like performance and what is actually a return — is where most Nigerian capital dies. Not in dramatic collapse. In quiet, busy, hardworking, respectable erosion, over four or five years, until the money is gone and the owner cannot say where it went.

This is not an argument against enterprise. It is an argument against deciding without the number. Because the number exists, it is public, it is free, and almost nobody looks it up.

₦158What a shop turning over ₦21.6 million paid its owner, per hour
−29.4%That shop's true Owner's Return on ₦4.2 million of capital
16.84%Tax-free, risk-free, for doing nothing — FGN 364-day bill, 2 Sept 2026
₦1.94mThe one-year gap between the shop and the Treasury bill

Is this for you?

This book is for you if —

  • You have ₦500,000 to ₦50 million from a gratuity, a settlement, a land sale, a diaspora transfer or years of careful saving, and everybody has an opinion about what you should do with it.
  • You are already running a business that feels busy — full shop, ringing POS, customers from seven in the morning — and you have never once calculated what it pays you per hour.
  • You are about to enter a business because somebody you trust is doing well at it, and nobody has asked you what return you need before it is worth doing.
  • You keep money in a savings account because it feels safe, and nobody has explained that "safe" refers to the naira figure and not to its value.
  • You are sending money home from abroad into an arrangement you cannot see, and you have no statement, no shareholding and no way to ask.
  • You are approaching or in retirement and cannot afford a four-year experiment.
  • You want arithmetic, not motivation — and you are willing to be told something uncomfortable if it is true.

It is not for you if —

  • You want to be told your business idea is wonderful.
  • You want a promise of returns, a formula, or a get-rich sequence.
  • You are looking for investment advice on a specific security — this book is analysis, not advice, and it says so on page iii.
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Compared with what?

The safest-feeling places a Nigerian can put money are, without exception, guaranteed losses.

In September 2026 the Federal Government was paying 16.84 per cent a year, tax-free, to anybody who would lend it money for twelve months. The retail minimum was ₦5,000. Almost no Nigerian business owner has ever compared that number to his own.

What a naira actually earns, after inflation

Real return per year against headline inflation of 15.43%, Nigeria, figures dated between January and September 2026.

  • Loses purchasing power
  • Gains purchasing power
Real return by instrument, Nigeria, September 2026 Horizontal diverging bar chart. Cash at home loses 13.37 per cent a year in real terms; the best money market fund gains 4.56 per cent. Only Treasury bills, FGN bonds and money market funds are above zero. -15% -12% -9% -6% -3% +0% +3% +6% Cash kept at home: -13.37% real Cash kept at home -13.37% Savings account — Stanbic IBTC, 2.70%: -11.03% real Savings account — Stanbic IBTC, 2.70% -11.03% Savings account — typical tier-one, 8.10%: -6.35% real Savings account — typical tier-one, 8.10% -6.35% FGN Savings Bond, 2-year — 13.963%: -1.27% real FGN Savings Bond, 2-year — 13.963% -1.27% FGN Savings Bond, 3-year — 14.963%: -0.40% real FGN Savings Bond, 3-year — 14.963% -0.40% Treasury bill, 91-day — 16.30%: +0.75% real Treasury bill, 91-day — 16.30% +0.75% Treasury bill, 182-day — 16.50%: +0.93% real Treasury bill, 182-day — 16.50% +0.93% Treasury bill, 364-day — 16.84%: +1.22% real Treasury bill, 364-day — 16.84% +1.22% FGN Bond, 2035 — 17.15%: +1.49% real FGN Bond, 2035 — 17.15% +1.49% FGN Bond, 2038 — 17.79%: +2.04% real FGN Bond, 2038 — 17.79% +2.04% Money market fund, top of market — 20.69%: +4.56% real Money market fund, top of market — 20.69% +4.56% Inflation 15.43% — the break-even line

↔ Swipe the chart sideways to see the full scale

Sources: CBN auction results 2 Sept 2026; DMO Aug 2026; published bank rates Jan 2026; DLM MMF year-to-date to July 2026. Real return computed as (1 + nominal) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1 — divided, never subtracted.

View as a table
Where the money sitsNominalReal vs 15.43%
Cash kept at home0.00%−13.37%
Savings account — Stanbic IBTC2.70%−11.03%
Savings account — typical tier-one8.10%−6.35%
FGN Savings Bond, 2-year13.963%−1.27%
FGN Savings Bond, 3-year14.963%−0.40%
Treasury bill, 91-day16.30%+0.75%
Treasury bill, 182-day16.50%+0.93%
Treasury bill, 364-day16.84%+1.22%
FGN Bond, 203517.15%+1.49%
FGN Bond, 203817.79%+2.04%
Money market fund, top of market20.69%+4.56%
Get the Book — ₦10,000 Nine instruments, each with its rate, liquidity, risk, tax treatment and minimum entry

The five-line calculation

She turned over ₦21.6 million. Here is what it actually paid her.

Mrs. Folasade Adewale's twelve months to August 2026, reconstructed from supplier invoices, a rent receipt, a diesel notebook and eleven months of bank statements. You can do this tonight, with what you already have.

Where ₦21.6 million of turnover went

One provision store in Lagos, twelve months to August 2026. Naira millions.

  • Turnover and subtotals
  • What the money paid for
Mrs Adewale’s twelve months to August 2026, in naira millions Waterfall chart. Turnover 21.6 million naira falls to 4.752 million gross profit after cost of goods, to 564 thousand accounting profit after operating costs, and to minus 1.236 million once the owner’s own labour is charged at 150 thousand naira a month. -3 0 5 10 15 20 Turnover: ₦21.600m ₦21.600m Turnover Cost of goods (78%): −₦16.848m −₦16.848m Cost of goods (78%) Gross profit: ₦4.752m ₦4.752m Gross profit Operating cost: −₦4.188m −₦4.188m Operating cost Accounting profit: ₦0.564m ₦0.564m Accounting profit Her own labour at ₦150k/mo: −₦1.800m −₦1.800m Her own labour at ₦150k/mo Economic profit: −₦1.236m −₦1.236m Economic profit ₦ millions

↔ Swipe the chart sideways to see the full scale

Owner's Return = (Turnover − Cost of goods − Operating cost − Your own wage) ÷ Capital employed. Here: −₦1,236,000 ÷ ₦4,200,000 = −29.4%. Composite case built from documented Nigerian patterns; the arithmetic is real arithmetic.

View as a table
Her twelve months to August 2026Amount
Turnover (₦1,800,000 × 12)₦21,600,000
Cost of goods sold (78%)(₦16,848,000)
Gross profit (22%)₦4,752,000
Operating cost — rent, staff, diesel, levies, transport, charges, losses(₦4,188,000)
Accounting profit — the number she thinks she earned₦564,000
Her own labour at ₦150,000 a month(₦1,800,000)
Economic profit(₦1,236,000)
Owner's Return on ₦4,200,000 of capital−29.4%
What a 364-day Treasury bill would have paid on the same ₦4.2m₦707,280
−₦1,236,000What the shop produced for the year, after charging her own labour at ₦150,000 a month
+₦707,280What the same ₦4.2 million would have produced in a 364-day Treasury bill
₦1,943,280The gap — plus 3,575 hours of her life
She is earning, from a business into which she put ₦4.2 million of her own capital, less than forty per cent of the legal minimum wage per hour — and she is paying her own staff more than three times what she is paying herself. It is invisible for exactly one reason: nobody divides.
Show Me the Five Lines Chapter One walks the whole calculation, line by line

The rent you pay before you sell anything

Nobody made a mistake. The business lost ₦17 million.

Alhaji Ibrahim paid 19.65 per cent of everything he sold in eighty-one payments to nineteen different recipients — power, logistics, levies, security, foreign exchange, the cost of credit. It took a full day with a calculator before he could see it as one number.

The Environmental Load against the margin it has to come out of

Naira per ₦100 of sales. One manufacturer, twenty-two staff, twelve months.

  • Gross margin earned
  • Environmental load
  • Staff cost
What Alhaji Ibrahim’s business kept, and what it owed, per ₦100 of sales Two horizontal bars. Gross margin is 26 naira per 100 naira sold. The environmental load takes 19.65 and staff take 9, a total of 28.65 — 2.65 naira more than the margin. ₦0 ₦4 ₦8 ₦12 ₦16 ₦20 ₦24 ₦28 ₦32 What it earns Gross margin: ₦26.00 per ₦100 of sales ₦26.00 What it owes first Environmental load — power, logistics, levies, security, FX, credit: ₦19.65 per ₦100 of sales ₦19.65 Staff cost: ₦9.00 per ₦100 of sales ₦9.00 Margin ceiling ₦26.00 Total ₦28.65 — ₦2.65 more than the margin

↔ Swipe the chart sideways to see the full scale

The Environmental Load = Power + Logistics + Taxes and levies + Security + FX and replacement cost + Cost of credit, as a percentage of revenue. Write your gross margin beside it. If the load is close to the margin, you have your explanation.

View as a table
Per ₦100 of salesAmount
Gross margin earned₦26.00
Environmental load — power, logistics, taxes and levies, security, FX, cost of credit₦19.65
Staff cost — twenty-two people₦9.00
Total owed before any profit₦28.65
Shortfall−₦2.65
Calculate My Own Load Chapter Three gives you the six lines and the worked example

The change this makes

By the last page you will be able to do nine things you probably cannot do today.

  • Compute the true annual return your business is producing on the capital you put into it — after paying yourself a real wage.
  • State this week's Nigerian risk-free rate and say exactly where you looked it up.
  • Express what the Nigerian operating environment costs you as a single percentage of your revenue.
  • Name the seven ways money leaves a small business without anybody deciding to steal it — and say which of the seven apply to you.
  • Investigate an unexplained loss in the correct order, whatever you believe about its cause.
  • Screen any proposed business — including one recommended by a person you trust — against five written questions before your money moves.
  • Place money into any of nine instruments and state the real return, the liquidity, the risk, the tax treatment and the minimum entry for each.
  • Build an allocation across four buckets that reflects your actual obligations rather than your aspirations.
  • Decide whether a specific business genuinely clears the hurdle — and defend the answer either way.
What this book will not do is tell you that you are going to be rich. It will not promise you a return. It will not give you a formula, and it will not tell you to follow your passion.
I Want the Arithmetic — ₦10,000 Download in seconds · read on any device

Exactly what is inside

Eight chapters. Four parts. One instrument, applied all the way through.

Part One — The Instrument

1

The Most Dangerous Number in Nigerian Business

Calculate your Owner's Return in five lines — and find out what your business pays you per hour once your own labour is charged at what somebody else would pay you.

2

The Hurdle Nobody Told You About

Clear the three floors in order — inflation, the risk-free rate, the cost of credit — and learn where to look each one up yourself, this week, for free.

Part Two — Why the Numbers Fail

3

The Rent You Pay Before You Sell Anything

Reduce power, logistics, multiple taxation, insecurity, FX and the cost of credit to one percentage — and set it beside your gross margin, where the explanation usually is.

4

The Thief Is on the Payroll

Close the seven channels money leaves through without anybody deciding to steal it, using the Four-Account Rule — and stop taking money from the till entirely.

5

When the Explanation Is Spiritual

Run the Diagnostic Order — Count, Reconcile, Load, Age, Walk, Test, Compute — written with respect for what a great many Nigerian business people believe, and with a specific financial signature attached to each symptom.

Part Three — The Verdict

6

Fifteen Businesses That Now Fight the Arithmetic

Ride-hailing · agent banking and POS · taxi and commercial transport · filling stations · bread bakeries · poultry · sachet and bottled water · frozen food and cold rooms · small restaurants · small manufacturing · electronics and appliance retail · mini-importation and online reselling · fashion and ready-to-wear · dispatch riders · provision stores. For each: the single variable on which it now fails — and the version that still works.

Part Four — The Redeployment

7

Where the Money Should Go Instead

Nine instruments, each with its dated real return, liquidity, risk, tax treatment under the 2025 reform acts and minimum entry — from a ₦5,000 savings bond to property — plus the four-bucket allocation and a remittance protocol for money sent home from abroad.

8

The Business Worth Building

Score your business on the Six Features, run the Business Qualification Test, and find out what revenue it would actually need to clear the hurdle — before the money moves.

Back Matter

The Action Plan · The Eleven Frameworks · References and Sources

Twenty-five numbered steps across 24 hours, 7 days, 30 days, 90 days and 12 months. A one-page quick-reference card of every framework in the book. And a full source list, because every figure here carries the date it was verified.

Send Me the Book — ₦10,000 198 pages · PDF and EPUB · instant download

A glimpse inside

The eleven frameworks, on one card

This page sits at the back of the book. Photograph it, or copy it into the front of your Capital File.

1 · The Owner's Return(Turnover − Cost of goods − Operating cost − Your own wage) ÷ Capital employed.
2 · The Three FloorsInflation, the risk-free rate, the cost of credit — cleared in that order.
3 · Real Return[(1 + nominal) ÷ (1 + inflation)] − 1. Divide, never subtract.
4 · The Environmental LoadPower + Logistics + Taxes and levies + Security + FX + Cost of credit, as a % of revenue.
5 · The Seven LeaksThe unseparated purse · uncounted stock · undocumented sale · the trusted man · credit that was never a decision · the idle asset · the unpriced favour.
6 · The Four-Account RuleOperating · Owner's Salary · Obligations · Capital. Nothing leaves Account Four without a written decision.
7 · The Diagnostic OrderCount · Reconcile · Load · Age · Walk · Test · Compute.
8 · The Five-Question ScreenThe Load · Replacement · Owner-hours · Differentiation · The Hurdle — in writing, before the money moves.
9 · The Redeployment LadderSavings account → FGN Savings Bond → Money market fund → Treasury bills → Fixed deposit → FGN Bonds → Corporate debt → Dollar-linked → Equities → Property.
10 · The Four-Bucket AllocationObligations · Buffer · Growth · Risked. Filled in that order.
11 · The Six Features + Qualification TestPricing power · dollar-linked revenue · asset-light · scarce skill · owned distribution · integration into the killing cost. Three of six, or it will not clear the hurdle.
The Artefact — The Capital FileSeven pages, one folder, once a year. Rerun everything on a fixed date: a conclusion reached in 2026 is not a conclusion for 2029.
Back cover of the book, showing the opening figures and what is inside

What the back cover says

“She turned over ₦21.6 million and earned ₦158 an hour. He lost ₦17 million and could not name a single decision he made wrongly.”

In September 2026 the Federal Government of Nigeria was paying 16.84 per cent a year, tax-free, to anybody who would lend it money for twelve months. The retail minimum was ₦5,000. Almost no Nigerian business owner has ever compared that number to his own.

This book is the comparison — and the eleven instruments for making it yourself.

  • A five-line calculation for your own business
  • The national number it must beat
  • What Nigeria charges you before you make a sale
  • Fifteen businesses — and how each one now fails
  • Nine places your money should go instead

Every figure sourced. Every figure dated. Nothing promised.

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The book, as it arrives

A 198-page instrument, not a motivational PDF

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Get the Book Now 15 business models · 11 practical frameworks · one better capital decision

Why listen to him

Celestine Ibojiemenmen

He writes and teaches on money, business, investment, property and the economic behaviour of Nigerians at home and in the diaspora, publishing under the name The Business Apostle.

His work is built on a single conviction: that most of what destroys Nigerian capital is not bad luck, bad character or bad markets, but the absence of a number — and that the number is almost always available, almost always free, and almost never looked up.

He has sat across from the man this book is written for perhaps a thousand times: not lazy, not foolish, very often the hardest-working person in his family, holding between two and twenty million naira, and already certain which business he is going to enter. Over the years he stopped arguing and started asking one question instead — what return do you need this money to earn before it is worth doing? Almost nobody has an answer. That gap is what this book was written to close.

You Are About to Lose That Money is part of the Business Apostle series, which examines money, business, sales, marketing, property, retirement and the psychology of wealth as parts of one connected argument rather than as unrelated subjects.

He writes for the Nigerian who has some money, has been told what to do with it by everybody, and has never once been asked: compared with what?

Proof, not self-praise

Every figure carries the date it was verified

This is the part most books skip. It is the part that makes the rest usable.

Primary sources only

CBN auction results, DMO offer circulars, the NBS Consumer Price Index, SEC fund registers, NGX data and the 2025 tax reform acts — each named, each dated, all listed in References and Sources at the back.

Dated, not eternal

Nigerian rates move. The book tells you which figures will go stale, and Chapter Two shows you exactly where to look up the current ones yourself — in about fifteen minutes, for free.

Composites, declared

The five business owners followed through the book are illustrative composites, assembled from documented Nigerian patterns. The book says so on page iii. Their arithmetic is real arithmetic; they are constructions built to make it visible.

On testimonials: this page carries none, because the book is newly published and we do not write our own. Reader quotes will be added here as real readers send them, with a name, an occupation and a specific result. Bought it and used the frameworks? Write to us and your words may appear in this space.

Included free

Five interactive platforms — ₦250,000 of tools, at no extra cost

A framework you cannot run is a framework you will not use. Every bonus below removes one obstacle between reading the book and acting on it. They run in your browser, the calculations happen on your own device, and nothing you type is stored or transmitted anywhere.

01

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A 0–100 assessment across five pillars — balance-sheet strength, liquidity and resilience, wealth-building rate, debt drag and portfolio resilience — with a Scenario Lab and a printable report. Where you actually stand, before you deploy anything.

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Dated inflows and outflows, a recurrence engine and a daily running balance that finds your first shortfall and your lowest point before they find you. This is Bucket One and Bucket Two of Chapter Seven, made operational.

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A private register of property, shares and funds, business interests, pension, cash and fixed income — with linked liabilities, valuation history and snapshots. The Capital File, kept for you.

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04

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Compare up to three opportunities on projected value, cost, liquidity, risk, evidence and simplicity, with a month-by-month cash-flow engine, fees, tax and inflation. This is the Five-Question Screen with the arithmetic done for you.

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Accumulation and drawdown, multiple pots and income streams, a required-pot solver and Conservative / Expected / My Plan scenarios. For the reader whose capital is a gratuity and who cannot afford a four-year experiment.

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Educational self-assessment tools, not regulated advice. Free to use, on any device, for as long as they exist.

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The offer

You are not buying a PDF. You are buying the comparison.

What you receive today

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  • Bonus 3 — Business Apostle Asset Tracker₦50,000
  • Bonus 4 — Business Apostle Investment Calculator₦50,000
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You cannot lose buying this book

If it did not transform your thinking and shift your perspective, you get your money back.

That is the whole test, and it is deliberately a low bar for you and a high one for us. Read it. Work through the five lines on your own business. If your perspective has not moved, write to us and ask for a refund — no capping, no interrogation.

The risk of this decision sits with us, not with you. Which is exactly the argument the book makes about every other decision you are about to take with your capital.

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We are closer to the target than you think. After it, the price returns to ₦12,500 — and the book is worth ₦12,500. This is what ₦2,500 of urgency looks like when nobody is pretending.

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Before you ask

Questions people send us

Is this a physical book or a digital book?
A digital book. You receive it as a PDF and an EPUB, so it reads well on a phone, a tablet, a laptop or an e-reader.
How will I receive it?
You download it immediately after payment, and the link is also sent to your email. Nobody has to email it to you manually.
Can I read it on my phone?
Yes. Any PDF reader or e-reader app will open it. The book was typeset with phone reading in mind.
Do I need previous knowledge of finance or accounting?
No. If you can subtract and divide, you can run every calculation in this book. Each one is worked through in full, with a real example, before you are asked to do it yourself.
Can I print it?
Yes. Many readers print the Eleven Frameworks card and the Action Plan and keep them in the front of their Capital File.
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You get instant access to the book, plus the five interactive platforms listed above.
Do I get lifetime access?
Yes. Download it once and it is yours. Keep a copy in your own storage.
Is there a refund policy?
Yes. If the book did not shift your thinking, ask and you will have your money back.
Can people outside Nigeria buy it?
Yes, and a portion of the book is written specifically for them — Chapter Seven contains a remittance protocol for Nigerians sending money home into arrangements they cannot see.
Is this investment advice?
No. It is financial and business analysis. The author is not a licensed investment adviser and the book recommends no specific security. Every rate in it carries the date it was verified, and Chapter Two shows you where to find the current ones. Consult a licensed professional before acting.
Will the figures be out of date by the time I read it?
Some of them, yes — and the book says so plainly on page iii. The principles are built to outlive the numbers, and the book teaches you to look the numbers up yourself so you are never dependent on anybody's published figure again.

One last thing

The money you still have is still a decision.

Mrs. Adewale's shop was busy every day for a year. It employed two people. It paid its rent, paid its levies, paid for its own electricity, and finished ahead on paper. And it cost her nearly two million naira against the simplest alternative available to any Nigerian with ₦5,000 — because nobody had ever suggested that the comparison existed.

You are the rare Nigerian who is about to look.

Whatever the number says about your business, you will know it. And a decision you can defend — either way — is worth considerably more than ₦10,000.

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